Toughest roads to the title
Posted: Thu Aug 10, 2006 12:50 pm
This week's list is Toughest Schedules. I'd like to tell you I concocted an elaborate formula to determine this, but I didn't. I actually started to, but scrapped it after I decided I'd rather gauge this on what I expect from teams in 2006, not how they did in 2005. (For instance, I don't think UCLA and Alabama will be as good as they were in 2005, and I seriously doubt Tennessee will be as bad.) I also think road games at some top-15 programs are tougher than others. (Virginia Tech, LSU and Oregon immediately come to mind.) One other big caveat: Since the ACC, Big 12 and SEC all have conference title games, I think those schools potentially have schedules that are much tougher to survive, which is worth noting because it served as a tie-breaker for my rankings. Weigh in, Sportsnation!
1. Florida: In a word: brutal. The Gators have a nasty midseason stretch that features four of the big boys in a row starting with a Sept. 30 game against Alabama. In truth though, that visit from the Tide is a warm-up compared to what follows since LSU visits the Swamp the following week. Then the Gators visit Auburn before finishing off October against Georgia. Bookending all that are a pair of road trips against Florida's two archrivals, Tennessee and Florida State, both of which are in revenge mode after getting beaten by the Gators in '05. UF also has two other bowl teams on its slate in UCF and South Carolina, whose head coach knows a thing or two about winning in the Swamp.
2. Georgia Tech: Good thing QB Reggie Ball has experience, because he's going to need it. The Yellow Jackets open with Notre Dame and close at archrival Georgia. In between is a trip to Virginia Tech's Lane Stadium, where they will hear "Enter Sandman" about 800 times, along with a trip to Clemson and a visit from Miami. The only break is Tech doesn't have FSU on its schedule.
3. Iowa State: Tough luck for Dan McCarney and Co., since all their toughest games are on the road this season, with visits to Iowa and Texas (back-to-back) and then to Norman, which takes place the week after Nebraska comes to ISU. The Cyclones also get a visit from Texas Tech.
4. Kentucky: Perhaps this should be called the Rich Brooks Farewell Tour. The Wildcats have to go into three of the biggest, loudest and most hostile places in the country in Florida, LSU and Tennessee. And none of those may even be the nastiest spot the Cats go, since the UK prez popped off about Louisville a few weeks back. Brilliant. Maybe he never saw the reaction to dancing on the Cardinal head in years past. Or maybe he did and figured, "I'll rile up the archrival. They'll beat us by 102 points, and then I can fire my coach posthaste." The Cats' toughest home game, by the way, is Nov. 4 against Georgia.
5. UCLA: This was a close race between two Pac-10 schools, but I think UCLA, by virtue of the trip to South Bend, has the tougher road than Oregon. The Bruins also have to go to Eugene, which is one of the tougher places to play. Other road trips include Cal and ASU. Facing USC anywhere is a problem, and opening with a hungry Utah squad is tricky too.
6. Oregon: So things got a bit easier for the Ducks after Oklahoma lost starting QB Rhett Bomar and J.D. Quinn, a starter at a position (O-line) where OU is already suspect, but the Sooners still have a superstar in Adrian Peterson. The week before OU could be just as tough for Oregon since it involves a road trip to Fresno. Later the Ducks go on the road to play ASU and Cal in consecutive weeks and also have to play USC at the Coliseum.
7. Ohio State: It will be interesting to see how the young defense holds up against this slate. Keep in mind the Buckeyes, who lost one of the great linebacking crews of all time, have to face a host of stud tailbacks (Northern Illinois' Garrett Wolfe; Texas' Jamaal Charles; Penn State's Tony Hunt; Iowa's Albert Young; Northwestern's Tyrell Sutton and Michigan's Mike Hart). Worse still, OSU has to go to Texas and Iowa, both of whom have strong offensive lines.
8. Vanderbilt: Too bad Jay Cutler isn't around anymore. The Commodores open up at Michigan and then travel to Alabama. Later they get to visit UGA too, before hosting Florida and Tennessee. On the bright side, they have Temple and Duke on the schedule and neither of those teams is actually the worst team Vandy faces. I think that distinction belongs to Tennessee State.
9. Michigan: Maybe Bo Schembechler had a point when he said, "We don't need Notre Dame. They need us more than we need them."
Few teams can say they will face three legit Heisman-contending quarterbacks. But the Wolverines can make that claim since they have to deal with Brady Quinn (ND), Drew Tate (Iowa) and Troy Smith (OSU). That's a nice welcome for new Wolverine defensive coordinator Ron English. And two of those three games are on the road (ND and OSU). A trip to Happy Valley won't be so mellow either.
10. Maryland: Don't be fooled by the opener against little William & Mary. The Terps have road trips to West Virginia, Georgia Tech, Virginia, Clemson and Boston College, and will also face Miami and FSU at home. That's tough for a program coming off consecutive losing seasons.
Just Missed the Cut: South Carolina, Washington, Michigan State, Arkansas.
RANDOM STUFF
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Marcel Frost, Ohio State's starting tight end, has been suspended for the season for a violation of team rules, according to Ken Gordon. Is it my imagination or has Buckeye tight end become something of a star-crossed position since the national title? First, uber-talented Louis Irizarry implodes after some off-field problems. Last year, TE Ryan Hamby received death threats from supposed Buckeyes fans after dropping a possible TD pass against Texas. Now this with Frost.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Interesting nugget about the recovery of talented LSU RB Alley Broussard from the Times-Picayune:
"If any lingering discomfort remains, Broussard has done an excellent job hiding the pain through the initial two non-pad workouts, partaking in every running back drill during sessions open to the media. Coach Les Miles said his staff and the trainers will closely monitor Broussard, especially with the team's first scrimmage set for Sunday. While Broussard's healthy, his mental state is mended after dealing with bouts of depression when the rehabilitation process wasn't progressing according to schedule.
'As far as a percentage -- you'd just have to see me out there running and compare me to when I was healthy,' Broussard said. 'I really couldn't tell you right now. I feel I have a little more to do as far as cutting and stuff, which I never really did.'"
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ The Rhett Bomar derby apparently includes Houston, as the embattled former Oklahoma QB visited the UH campus Tuesday, Ronnie Turner reports.
Bomar's dad has reached out to North Texas as well, I'm told.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Willie Williams is still in limbo. And now you can cross Troy off his list of possible next stops, as that school's SID told the Miami Herald the controversial Miami linebacker won't be coming to the Sun Belt school.
"They were working on it, but I don't know if it was Willie Williams who backed off on his end, or we did here," Ricky Hazel said. "There was some negative reaction by the fans on our end, as you can imagine, so maybe it was both parties backing off."
My hunch is that Williams ends up dropping down to some Division I-AA school, perhaps Bethune-Cookman.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ FSU folks have to be smiling now that blue-chip TE Brandon Warren has been green-lighted by the Clearinghouse. From what I've been told, the starting TE position is Warren's to lose this summer. That's a reflection of both his talent and what FSU had coming back at tight end. Rarely do you hear about a top program counting so much on a true freshman, especially one who wasn't a lock to make it.
One surprising thing that came from Warren's debut with the Noles was the revelation that FSU coaches plan to get the 6-foot-2, 240-pounder some work as a pass-rushing specialist at defensive end this season, in addition to his duties at tight end.
"That's a natural ability I have -- just to rush the quarterback," Warren said. "I'm not going to have to learn the whole defense. It's just kind of go out there and go after the quarterback. That's something we talked about during the recruiting process."
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ I wasn't ready to put him in the top impact true freshmen list from a week ago, but keep an eye on Dexter McCluster. The 5-foot-9, 175-pound slot receiver has created quite a buzz around Ole Miss all summer with his moves and explosiveness. McCluster, who is from Largo, Fla., actually flew below the recruiting radar -- I suspect because of his size -- although if you ever saw his dazzling highlight tape, you'd have expected otherwise.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Bad news for UNC: Trimane Goddard, expected to be one of North Carolina's key defensive players, broke a bone in his left foot in practice last Saturday in a non-contact drill and will likely be out for the season, Bill Cole writes.
On the bright side, this probably means Cooter Arnold will get more playing time, and we can never have enough guys named Cooter in college football.
1. Florida: In a word: brutal. The Gators have a nasty midseason stretch that features four of the big boys in a row starting with a Sept. 30 game against Alabama. In truth though, that visit from the Tide is a warm-up compared to what follows since LSU visits the Swamp the following week. Then the Gators visit Auburn before finishing off October against Georgia. Bookending all that are a pair of road trips against Florida's two archrivals, Tennessee and Florida State, both of which are in revenge mode after getting beaten by the Gators in '05. UF also has two other bowl teams on its slate in UCF and South Carolina, whose head coach knows a thing or two about winning in the Swamp.
2. Georgia Tech: Good thing QB Reggie Ball has experience, because he's going to need it. The Yellow Jackets open with Notre Dame and close at archrival Georgia. In between is a trip to Virginia Tech's Lane Stadium, where they will hear "Enter Sandman" about 800 times, along with a trip to Clemson and a visit from Miami. The only break is Tech doesn't have FSU on its schedule.
3. Iowa State: Tough luck for Dan McCarney and Co., since all their toughest games are on the road this season, with visits to Iowa and Texas (back-to-back) and then to Norman, which takes place the week after Nebraska comes to ISU. The Cyclones also get a visit from Texas Tech.
4. Kentucky: Perhaps this should be called the Rich Brooks Farewell Tour. The Wildcats have to go into three of the biggest, loudest and most hostile places in the country in Florida, LSU and Tennessee. And none of those may even be the nastiest spot the Cats go, since the UK prez popped off about Louisville a few weeks back. Brilliant. Maybe he never saw the reaction to dancing on the Cardinal head in years past. Or maybe he did and figured, "I'll rile up the archrival. They'll beat us by 102 points, and then I can fire my coach posthaste." The Cats' toughest home game, by the way, is Nov. 4 against Georgia.
5. UCLA: This was a close race between two Pac-10 schools, but I think UCLA, by virtue of the trip to South Bend, has the tougher road than Oregon. The Bruins also have to go to Eugene, which is one of the tougher places to play. Other road trips include Cal and ASU. Facing USC anywhere is a problem, and opening with a hungry Utah squad is tricky too.
6. Oregon: So things got a bit easier for the Ducks after Oklahoma lost starting QB Rhett Bomar and J.D. Quinn, a starter at a position (O-line) where OU is already suspect, but the Sooners still have a superstar in Adrian Peterson. The week before OU could be just as tough for Oregon since it involves a road trip to Fresno. Later the Ducks go on the road to play ASU and Cal in consecutive weeks and also have to play USC at the Coliseum.
7. Ohio State: It will be interesting to see how the young defense holds up against this slate. Keep in mind the Buckeyes, who lost one of the great linebacking crews of all time, have to face a host of stud tailbacks (Northern Illinois' Garrett Wolfe; Texas' Jamaal Charles; Penn State's Tony Hunt; Iowa's Albert Young; Northwestern's Tyrell Sutton and Michigan's Mike Hart). Worse still, OSU has to go to Texas and Iowa, both of whom have strong offensive lines.
8. Vanderbilt: Too bad Jay Cutler isn't around anymore. The Commodores open up at Michigan and then travel to Alabama. Later they get to visit UGA too, before hosting Florida and Tennessee. On the bright side, they have Temple and Duke on the schedule and neither of those teams is actually the worst team Vandy faces. I think that distinction belongs to Tennessee State.
9. Michigan: Maybe Bo Schembechler had a point when he said, "We don't need Notre Dame. They need us more than we need them."
Few teams can say they will face three legit Heisman-contending quarterbacks. But the Wolverines can make that claim since they have to deal with Brady Quinn (ND), Drew Tate (Iowa) and Troy Smith (OSU). That's a nice welcome for new Wolverine defensive coordinator Ron English. And two of those three games are on the road (ND and OSU). A trip to Happy Valley won't be so mellow either.
10. Maryland: Don't be fooled by the opener against little William & Mary. The Terps have road trips to West Virginia, Georgia Tech, Virginia, Clemson and Boston College, and will also face Miami and FSU at home. That's tough for a program coming off consecutive losing seasons.
Just Missed the Cut: South Carolina, Washington, Michigan State, Arkansas.
RANDOM STUFF
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Marcel Frost, Ohio State's starting tight end, has been suspended for the season for a violation of team rules, according to Ken Gordon. Is it my imagination or has Buckeye tight end become something of a star-crossed position since the national title? First, uber-talented Louis Irizarry implodes after some off-field problems. Last year, TE Ryan Hamby received death threats from supposed Buckeyes fans after dropping a possible TD pass against Texas. Now this with Frost.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Interesting nugget about the recovery of talented LSU RB Alley Broussard from the Times-Picayune:
"If any lingering discomfort remains, Broussard has done an excellent job hiding the pain through the initial two non-pad workouts, partaking in every running back drill during sessions open to the media. Coach Les Miles said his staff and the trainers will closely monitor Broussard, especially with the team's first scrimmage set for Sunday. While Broussard's healthy, his mental state is mended after dealing with bouts of depression when the rehabilitation process wasn't progressing according to schedule.
'As far as a percentage -- you'd just have to see me out there running and compare me to when I was healthy,' Broussard said. 'I really couldn't tell you right now. I feel I have a little more to do as far as cutting and stuff, which I never really did.'"
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ The Rhett Bomar derby apparently includes Houston, as the embattled former Oklahoma QB visited the UH campus Tuesday, Ronnie Turner reports.
Bomar's dad has reached out to North Texas as well, I'm told.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Willie Williams is still in limbo. And now you can cross Troy off his list of possible next stops, as that school's SID told the Miami Herald the controversial Miami linebacker won't be coming to the Sun Belt school.
"They were working on it, but I don't know if it was Willie Williams who backed off on his end, or we did here," Ricky Hazel said. "There was some negative reaction by the fans on our end, as you can imagine, so maybe it was both parties backing off."
My hunch is that Williams ends up dropping down to some Division I-AA school, perhaps Bethune-Cookman.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ FSU folks have to be smiling now that blue-chip TE Brandon Warren has been green-lighted by the Clearinghouse. From what I've been told, the starting TE position is Warren's to lose this summer. That's a reflection of both his talent and what FSU had coming back at tight end. Rarely do you hear about a top program counting so much on a true freshman, especially one who wasn't a lock to make it.
One surprising thing that came from Warren's debut with the Noles was the revelation that FSU coaches plan to get the 6-foot-2, 240-pounder some work as a pass-rushing specialist at defensive end this season, in addition to his duties at tight end.
"That's a natural ability I have -- just to rush the quarterback," Warren said. "I'm not going to have to learn the whole defense. It's just kind of go out there and go after the quarterback. That's something we talked about during the recruiting process."
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ I wasn't ready to put him in the top impact true freshmen list from a week ago, but keep an eye on Dexter McCluster. The 5-foot-9, 175-pound slot receiver has created quite a buzz around Ole Miss all summer with his moves and explosiveness. McCluster, who is from Largo, Fla., actually flew below the recruiting radar -- I suspect because of his size -- although if you ever saw his dazzling highlight tape, you'd have expected otherwise.
†™‚¢‚¢¢¢¬…¡‚¬¢‚¬Å¡‚¢ Bad news for UNC: Trimane Goddard, expected to be one of North Carolina's key defensive players, broke a bone in his left foot in practice last Saturday in a non-contact drill and will likely be out for the season, Bill Cole writes.
On the bright side, this probably means Cooter Arnold will get more playing time, and we can never have enough guys named Cooter in college football.